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NSEI · DISTRIBUTION FORMING
MIXED
VIX 16.6Normalprev 17.6
Auto27,930-1.1% 1d
Energy37,399+0.0% 1d
FinServ27,856-0.7% 1d
FMCG46,834-0.0% 1d
Infra9,480-0.4% 1d
IT31,931-0.7% 1d
Metal12,648-1.0% 1d
Pharma28,536-0.5% 1d
Realty921-1.4% 1d
ConsDur38,438-0.6% 1d
Defence9,089-0.6% 1d
Healthcare17,233-0.4% 1d
Services32,485-0.7% 1d
Nifty50023,734-0.6% 1d
BankNifty61,034-0.8% 1d
Nifty5025,144-0.6% 1d
Midcap15022,681-0.3% 1d
Smallcap25017,941-0.3% 1d
Oil89+0.1% 1d
Gold3,881-0.1% 1d
Trendabove 10-month avg
▲ Consumer DurablesLeading #1
▲ BanksLeading #2
▲ PharmaLeading #3
▼ DefenseLagging #16
▼ MetalLagging #17
▼ AgroLagging #18
FII Stk LONG+1001K lots
N-PCR 0.83Neutral
BNF-PCR 1.24Bullish
Bajaj Finserv Share Price ₹1,865: Lagging Nifty by 10%
Bajaj Finserv Ltd (BAJAJFINSV) · Updated
At ₹1,865, Bajaj Finserv has underperformed Nifty by 10% in 3 months. In downtrend for 5 weeks, thin delivery volumes. Floor ₹1,640, recovery above ₹2,118.
By Tier:184 Bottom Zone, 26 Breakdown, 272 Top Zone, 65 Neutral
By Cycle Stage:22 Accumulating · 60 Forming · 11 In an Uptrend · 120 Distribution · 334 Neutral
Data gets refreshed next day around 5–7 AM. Telegram
SymbolName · Range · Price
Turn Zone SignalWatch Bottom · Top Zone · Neutral
StageVerdict · Phase · Track
CESCoil Energy
Smart MoneyIQ · delivery · ATS
Long-Term CaseArchetype · Decline
ValuationScore
Fib / S·RNear support or resistance
VerdictSignal state
CoverageUpdate · Sources
AI PDF
Data gets refreshed next day around 5–7 AM. Telegram
SymbolName · Range · Price
Turn Zone SignalWatch Bottom · Top Zone · Neutral
StageVerdict · Phase · Track
CESCoil Energy
Smart MoneyIQ · delivery · ATS
Long-Term CaseArchetype · Decline
ValuationScore
Fib / S·RNear support or resistance
VerdictSignal state
CoverageUpdate · Sources
AI PDF
ONGC ▼
₹2197%₹308
₹225
+0.2%
Lagging sector #14
Watch Bottom
Accumulation · Building
Building the Base — Institutions accumulating
Base Forming 75▲CT·4wNo event
19/150
FORMING
Weak Money Flow · 29
Neutral flow
▲ Big investors adding
FII 8.6% ▲ +0.5% Sep'26
DII 18.7% ▼ -0.7% Sep'26
DII 4(+0) – ↑1↓2
A · Severe
Deep past decline — re-rating story
95/100
Cheap
DY 5.8%
FV ₹476 +53% MoS
62.0% Fib ₹225 (-0.1%)
Support 4.2% belowResistance 4.4% above
BUILDING
Evidence fading
↓ SLOWING
13-Nov-26
Price
Deliv
FII
Shp
Fund
DQ 100 · Cov 20/20
Loading…
ITC ▼
₹25320%₹413
₹285
+0.3%
Improving sector #10
Bottom Zone
Accumulation · Forming
★☆☆☆☆ Possible to bottom · Building the Base — Institutions accumulating
DeliveryAre people holding BAJAJFINSV or just trading it?
Daily delivery ▼
47.2%
-0.9σ
Weekly delivery ▼
39.8%
-2.7σ
Monthly delivery ▲
60.1%
+1.0σ
Delivery against its own usual level
Period
Delivery
Its usual
Reading
Last session
47.2%
51.9%
9% below · in its usual range
Last 5 sessions
44.6%
54.7%
19% below · in its usual range
Last 21 sessions
51.6%
57.1%
10% below · in its usual range
"Its usual" is the plain average of the sessions just before: 20 for the last session, 21 for the last 5, 63 for the last 21. A delivery fact, not a record of who traded.
Trading activityHow busy was trading in BAJAJFINSV, and how large were the trades?
Session VWAP
₹1,862.07
Close +0.16% vs VWAP
Avg Trade Size
₹28,045
0.77x vs normal
Turnover
0.41x
vs 20-day avg
Volume contracting (0.4x avg) — no conviction in the current direction.
BEFOREwhat has already happened
Who is addingWho has been adding to BAJAJFINSV, and who has been reducing?
SMART MONEY Delivery was 47.2% on 13-Nov-26, against about 55% on a usual day.
Smart Money @ price level and date
Date
Price level
Delivery
Day
01-Oct-26
₹1,732.60
73.6%
▲
18-Sep-26
₹1,852.50
70.1%
▼
14-Aug-26
₹2,008.30
72.0%
▼
06-Aug-26
₹2,086.00
70.8%
▲
Days when delivery was well above its own 60-day average. A delivery fact, not a record of who traded.
Fibonacci levelsWhere are the usual pullback levels?
Price sits between the 61.8% and 50% levels.
Base low ₹1,624.80Swing high ₹2,118.50
61.8% golden₹1,813.39
50% midpoint₹1,871.65
38.2% support₹1,929.91
Past reference levels, not a forecast.
WHAT THE INDICATORS SAYfor and against
Readings for and against, each explained.
TOP SIGNALS
⚠ Dip-buying attempt failed · 4d ago
📦 Volume & Flow
✗Delivery trend falling (20d) — institutional participation fading at top
— Confirming indicators
〰 Momentum
✗Bollinger %B Reversal (top): Price pierced above the upper Bollinger Band (BB %B = 0.88) then closed back inside — price stretched too far and was rejected. Classic mean-reversion top signal.
✗RSI 63.9 — elevated, momentum extended
✗MFI 84 — overbought, distribution setup
✗BB %B reversal from overbought — price pierced above upper band and fell back; statistical extreme exhausted
✗Stochastic 89 — overbought; confirms the RSI top context
🌡 Regime
✗CAUTION: Price (₹1,865) is above the 200-day EMA (₹1,857) — long-term trend is still up. Top-side setups carry more risk above the 200-EMA.
✗Death Cross: The 50-day EMA has crossed below the 200-day EMA — confirmed macro bear signal (EMA stack aligned).
✗ATR at 86th percentile — volatility climax; confirms exhaustion event, expect range contraction
✗ADX Exhaustion (ADX 46): Trend strength has reached the top 10% of historical readings — uptrends with ADX >45 are statistically overextended and prone to sharp reversals. Combine with divergence for highest confidence.
BULL COUNTER-CASE
RS: Top 36%▲ Bullish Marubozu (pattern)
⚡ Cycle Stage
✓Volatility Climax (ATR percentile 86/100): Current daily range is larger than 85% of all bars in the past year — panic-level volatility. Historically this marks exhaustion bottoms.
✓⚡ Institutional money flow confirmed without a price event — quiet accumulation in progress.
✓⏳ dip-buying / panic-selling event is 3+ years old — base is aging, probability window narrowing.
✓Trend-break confirmed (5b ago)
📊 Price & Structure
✓Not near identified supply zone
📦 Volume & Flow
✓CMF +0.356 — money still flowing in, not distributing
— Confirming indicators
🌡 Regime
✓Price below EMA200 — not in distribution territory
✓Index-wide FII flow BULLISH (+47,093 Cr 5d net) — foreign buying may extend top formation but distribution thesis stands.
✓Weekly bullish (RSI 52)
🏛 Institutional
✓FII still buying QoQ — not distributing (FII buying QoQ (+1.3% -> 8.2%))
📋 Fundamentals
✓P/E is 0.80x its own 5yr median (32x) — cheap relative to its own history; fundamentals argue against a top
🕯 Pattern
✓Weekly candle: Bullish Marubozu (bullish — not distribution)
✓Falling wedge
✓OI long buildup ↑
No confirmed euphoria peak or weak-rally peak signal yet. Current signals suggest approaching distribution territory. About this label: it describes the chart pattern. In a test of 2020–2026 that used only what was known at each date, it has not been a reliable sign that a stock will do worse than others over the next 3–6 months.
Want to see how the company behind BAJAJFINSV is doing, and its price levels in detail?Look closer ↓
●●○LOOK CLOSERabout 2 minutes
Company health and price tables, terms explained.
Company healthHow are BAJAJFINSV's profit, debt, returns and growth?
Returns and safety
Return on Equity
13%
ROCE
11%
Debt / Equity
4.52x
Growth and trend
Rev 5yr CAGR
+20%
Profit 5yr CAGR
+17%
Margin 3v3yr
+4.3pp
Debt Trend
+0.53x
Cash-Flow Stage
Startup
CFO / CFI / CFF
− / − / +
Value
Market value
₹275,658 Cr
P/E
25.6x
P/E vs Own 5yr Med
0.80x
P/B Ratio
3.6x
Price and ownership data cannot show problems in a company's accounts or governance, so a stock can look cheap and still be in trouble. Check the filings.
Levels in detailWhich support, resistance and average levels are there?
Key Levels — tested support & resistance
Type
Level
Distance
Tests ⓘ
Strength
Resistance
₹2,118
+13.6%
1
3.7
Resistance
₹2,195
+17.7%
1
3.3
Support
₹1,640
-12.0%
2
5.0
Support
₹1,625
-12.9%
1
5.0
ⓘ Tests = approach episodes counted from each zone's own formation date.
A deeper zone formed earlier can have more tests than a shallower zone formed recently — this is expected.
EMA Trend Regime — ribbon & dynamic levels
ImmediateStrong Up
Mid-termDown (weakening)
Long-termDown
EMA
Level
Distance
EMA 10 (immediate)
₹1,811.9
+2.9%
EMA 21 (immediate/mid)
₹1,778.2
+4.9%
EMA 63 (mid/long)
₹1,806.1
+3.3%
EMA 200 (long-term)
₹1,856.7
+0.4%
LOW CONFIDENCE
Hurst 0.60 (trending) · ADX 46 (strong trend) — both required above threshold for HIGH confidence
EMA = an average that counts recent prices more.
●●●ANALYST VIEWfor experts
Every indicator and score, in the usual technical terms.
ScoresHow do the engine’s scores read for BAJAJFINSV?
Bottom turn zone
0 / 100
top 1% of 26 stocks (breakdown)
How many signs point to a bottom forming.
Peak turn zone
18 / 100
How many signs point to a top forming.
Institutional quality
28 / 100
How strong big-investor activity looks.
Coil energy
22 / 150
forming
How tightly the price has been compressing.
Momentum
61 / 100
above average · top 39% of 147 largecaps
How strongly the price has moved against its peers.
Relative strength vs Nifty 50
−10.3% over the quarter
weakening · 20-day slope falling · vs its sector −12.4%
How the stock has done against the Nifty 50.
Technical indicatorsWhat do the popular indicators (RSI, MACD, volume) show?
TREND
10-day averageprice is 2.9% above it
₹1,812
21-day averageprice is 4.9% above it
₹1,778
63-day averageprice is 3.3% above it
₹1,806
200-day averageprice is 0.4% above it
₹1,857
50-day vs 200-day average50-day is below the 200-day (death-cross state), since 23-Oct-26
MACD (12, 26, 9) dailymomentum is stronger than its 9-period average
histogram +26.2
MACD (12, 26, 9) weeklymomentum is weaker than its 9-period average
histogram −6.3
Stochastic (14, 3, 3)high (overbought zone)
89
Williams %R (14)high zone
−15
CCI (20)above +100: stretched up
125
Rate of change (12 days)price is higher than 12 days ago
+11.2%
VOLUME AND FLOW
Money Flow Index (14)high (overbought zone)
84
Chaikin Money Flow (20)more volume on closes near the high
+0.356
On-balance volumevolume has been flowing in on up days
above its 20-day average
Elder Force Index (13)buyers are driving the move
positive
Volume vs 20-day averagequieter than usual
0.4×
VOLATILITY
Average daily range (ATR 14)wider than 86% of the past year's days
2.5% of price
Bollinger bands (20, 2)near the upper band · width 18.8%
%B 88
20-day volatility (yearly rate)how much the price has been swinging
25%
Narrowest range of 7 days (NR7)the last session's range is wider than the narrowest of the last 7
no
Volatility contraction (VCP)no contraction: recent ranges are not unusually even
ratio 1.45
60-day volatility percentile60-day swings wider than 44% of the past year's days
44%
Common settings (RSI 70/30, Stochastic and MFI 80/20). A reading, not a signal. Green dot: supports the bullish side. Red dot: supports the bearish side. Grey: neutral. Amber: stretched high zone. Blue: stretched low zone. Direction follows each indicator’s standard rule.
COMMON QUESTIONSanswers in plain words
BAJAJFINSV share price: closing price on 13-11 and how it has moved
BAJAJFINSV closed at ₹1,865.00 on 13-11 (−1.2%). Over the week +1.6%, past month +6.2%, past year −9.6%.
BAJAJFINSV 52-week high and low
BAJAJFINSV's 52-week high is ₹2,126.80 and its 52-week low is ₹1,597.00. The 13-11 close of ₹1,865.00 is 50% of the way up that range and 12.3% below the 52-week high.
BAJAJFINSV P/E ratio: what is it and how does it compare with its own past?
BAJAJFINSV's P/E is 25.6x on 13-11 (P/B 3.6x), which is 0.80x its own 5-year median of 32x. A P/E on its own does not say what happens next.
BAJAJFINSV shareholding pattern: promoter, FII, DII and public holding
As of the Sep 2026 quarter-end promoters hold 58.6% (down 0.1 points) of BAJAJFINSV, FIIs 8.2% (+1.3 points), DIIs 11.1% (−1.0 points) and the public 22.0%. Promoter pledge: none (16-Oct-2026).
BAJAJFINSV support and resistance levels
Nearest resistance zone: ₹2,095.32–₹2,118.50 (12.3% above the 13-11 close, tested 1× before). Nearest support zone: ₹1,624.80–₹1,659.03 (11.0% below the 13-11 close, tested 2× before). These are prices where the stock has stalled or turned before, not forecasts.
Should I buy BAJAJFINSV? What the data shows
Zonters does not give buy or sell recommendations, price targets, or personal advice. The facts on 13-11: BAJAJFINSV is 50% of the way up its 52-week range and 15.0% below its 10-year high; P/E 0.80x its 5-year median; FIIs raised their holding by 1.3 points last quarter; delivery 47.2% against about 55% normal. For a decision, speak to a SEBI-registered investment adviser.
Why did BAJAJFINSV share price fall on 13-11?
BAJAJFINSV fell 1.2% to ₹1,865.00 on 13-11, on volume 0.4× its usual, with delivery at 47.2% (about 55% is normal). The Nifty moved −0.6% the same day. Its sector, Nifty FIN SERVICE, ranks 9 of 18 on 6-month strength (improving). Zonters shows what the data did, not news or results.
BAJAJFINSV delivery percentage and heavy-delivery days
BAJAJFINSV's delivery was 47.2% on 13-11, 39.8% over the last complete week and 60.1% over the last complete month, against a 60-day normal of about 55%. Delivery is the share of traded shares taken into investors' accounts instead of being closed out the same day. Heavy-delivery days (date, price, delivery): 01-10-26 ₹1,732.60 (73.6%); 18-09-26 ₹1,852.50 (70.1%); 14-08-26 ₹2,008.30 (72.0%).
BAJAJFINSV vs Nifty 50 and vs its sector
To 13-11: 1 month BAJAJFINSV +6.2% vs Nifty +11.1% (gap 4.9 points behind); 3 months BAJAJFINSV −7.7% vs Nifty +3.1% (gap 10.8 points behind); 1 year BAJAJFINSV −9.6% vs Nifty −1.7% (gap 7.9 points behind). Its sector, Nifty FIN SERVICE, ranks 9 of 18 on 6-month strength (improving).
BAJAJFINSV all-time high and worst fall
BAJAJFINSV is 15.0% below its 10-year high on 13-11. Its worst fall of 10% or more in the 10 years of data (since 12-08-16) was 59% from 29-01-20 to 26-05-20, back at the old high on 08-02-21 (8 months after the low).
FACT SHEET — exact values from the Zonters engine; all prices are last closes
Stock:Bajaj Finserv Ltd (BAJAJFINSV)
Data as of (last trading session):13-11-2026
Price (last close):closed at ₹1,865.00 on 13-11 (-1.2% on the previous close)
Change:last session (13-11) -1.2% · this week +1.6% · past month +6.2%
52-week range:₹1,597.00 to ₹2,126.80
Position in 52-week range:50% (in the middle; 0% = the low, 100% = the high)
Returns:YTD -8.6% · 1Y -9.6% · 3Y +14.5% · 5Y +5.9% · From 10-yr high -15.0%